Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.018739 0.020638 0.022549 0.024609 0.026764 0.028946 0.031321
2025-06-08 0.014770 0.017696 0.020761 0.024185 0.027884 0.031740 0.036045
2025-06-15 0.012644 0.016137 0.019904 0.024218 0.028978 0.034027 0.039752
2025-06-22 0.010749 0.014590 0.018850 0.023837 0.029439 0.035473 0.042402
2025-06-29 0.009057 0.013099 0.017708 0.023219 0.029515 0.036388 0.044369
2025-07-06 0.007418 0.011518 0.016337 0.022228 0.029072 0.036642 0.045525
2025-07-13 0.006705 0.010994 0.016151 0.022554 0.030082 0.038483 0.048412
2025-07-20 0.005853 0.010220 0.015606 0.022408 0.030506 0.039625 0.050482
2025-07-27 0.005095 0.009501 0.015077 0.022239 0.030866 0.040665 0.052409
2025-08-03 0.004765 0.009327 0.015208 0.022849 0.032127 0.042728 0.055489
2025-08-10 0.004129 0.008672 0.014688 0.022630 0.032379 0.043603 0.057193
2025-08-17 0.003528 0.008013 0.014123 0.022323 0.032499 0.044303 0.058678
2025-08-24 0.003004 0.007458 0.013715 0.022259 0.032982 0.045516 0.060865
2025-08-31 0.002432 0.006768 0.013100 0.021923 0.033138 0.046361 0.062655
2025-09-07 0.002044 0.006323 0.012786 0.021948 0.033715 0.047685 0.064986
2025-09-14 0.001604 0.005717 0.012202 0.021586 0.033787 0.048387 0.066572
2025-09-21 0.001180 0.005049 0.011478 0.020999 0.033548 0.048694 0.067672
2025-09-28 0.000764 0.004275 0.010527 0.020059 0.032826 0.048388 0.068023
2025-10-05 0.000631 0.004097 0.010490 0.020368 0.033697 0.050018 0.070675
2025-10-12 0.000454 0.003745 0.010145 0.020230 0.033977 0.050914 0.072440
2025-10-19 0.000307 0.003409 0.009799 0.020070 0.034215 0.051749 0.074125
2025-10-26 0.000262 0.003378 0.009966 0.020648 0.035422 0.053782 0.077253
2025-11-02 0.000156 0.003056 0.009605 0.020441 0.035580 0.054506 0.078794